Efficacy of Lockdowns, Social Distancing, and Closings
On 29 Sep, 2020 By admin 0 Comments
Social Distancing
Illusory Effects of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID19 in Europe
On 21 Jun, 2020 By admin 0 Comments
June 8, 2020 - Stefan Homburg, Christof Kuhbandner
Abstract
Flaxman et al. (Nature, 8 June 2020, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7, 2020) infer that non-pharmaceutical interventions conducted by several European countries considerably reduced effective reproduction numbers and saved millions of lives. We show that their method is ill-conceived and that the alleged effects are artefacts. Moreover, we demonstrate that the United Kingdom?s lockdown was both superfluous and ineffective.
Estimating Effects of Non-pharmaceutical Interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
On 21 Jun, 2020 By admin 0 Comments
June 8, 2020
Seth Flaxman, Swapnil Mishra, Axel Gandy, H. Juliette T. Unwin, Thomas A. Mellan, Helen Coupland, Charles Whittaker, Harrison Zhu, Tresnia Berah, Jeffrey W. Eaton, Mélodie Monod, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, Azra C. Ghani, Christl A. Donnelly, Steven M. Riley, Michaela A. C. Vollmer, Neil M. Ferguson, Lucy C. Okell & Samir Bhatt
Abstract