Health Policy

They Blinded Us From Science - Misperceptions of COVID19 Risk

August, 2020

Abstract

The first round of our Franklin Templeton–Gallup Economics of Recovery Study has already yielded three powerful and surprising insights:

1. Americans still misperceive the risks of death from COVID-19 for different age cohorts— to a shocking extent;

2. The misperception is greater for those who identify as Democrats, and for those who rely more on social media for information; partisanship and misinformation, to misquote Thomas Dolby, are blinding us from science; and

Did Lockdown Work? An Economist’s Cross-Country Comparison

August, 2020

Abstract

I explore the association between the severity of lockdown policies in the first half of 2020 and mortality rates. Using two indices from the Blavatnik Centre’s Covid 19 policy measures and comparing weekly mortality rates from 24 European countries in the first halves of 2017-2020, and addressing policy endogeneity in two different ways, I find no clear association between lockdown policies and mortality development.

Global Assessment of the Relationship between Government Response Measures and COVID19 Deaths

July, 2020

Abstract

Objective: To provide an early global assessment of the impact of government stringency measures on the rate of growth in deaths from COVID-19. We hypothesized that the overall stringency of a government's interventions and the speed of implementation would affect the growth and level of deaths related to COVID-19 in that country.

Was school closure effective in mitigating coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)? Time series analysis using Bayesian inference

July, 2020

Highlights

  • The effectiveness of school closure remains unknown to mitigate the epidemic of COVID-19.
  • Time series analyses were conducted using the Bayesian method to evaluate the effectiveness of school closure in Japan.
  • The intervention of school closure did not appear to decrease the incidence of coronavirus infection.

Objectives

Pages