White Paper

Avoiding Ambiguity

By: Sunetra Gupta

Limits of mathematical reasoning.

Danger of using models to make decisions.

Models may or may not help us understand complexity yet can create an illusion of reality.

Four Stylized Facts about COVID19 - Study of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions

August, 2020

Abstract

We document four facts about the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide relevant for those studying the impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) on COVID-19 transmission.

First: across all countries and U.S. states that we study, the growth rates of daily deaths from COVID-19 fell from a wide range of initially high levels to levels close to zero within 20-30 days after each region experienced 25 cumulative deaths.

Second: after this initial period, growth rates of daily deaths have hovered around zero or below everywhere in the world.

They Blinded Us From Science - Misperceptions of COVID19 Risk

August, 2020

Abstract

The first round of our Franklin Templeton–Gallup Economics of Recovery Study has already yielded three powerful and surprising insights:

1. Americans still misperceive the risks of death from COVID-19 for different age cohorts— to a shocking extent;

2. The misperception is greater for those who identify as Democrats, and for those who rely more on social media for information; partisanship and misinformation, to misquote Thomas Dolby, are blinding us from science; and

The Autonomous Mind: The Right to Freedom of Thought in the Twenty-First Century

September, 2019

To lose freedom of thought (FoT) is to lose our dignity, our democracy and our very selves. Accordingly, the right to FoT receives absolute protection under international human rights law. However, this foundational right has been neither significantly developed nor often utilized. The contours of this right urgently need to be defined due to twenty-first century threats to FoT posed by new technologies. As such, this paper draws on law and psychology to consider what the right to FoT should be in the twenty-first century.

A country level analysis measuring the impact of government actions, country preparedness and socioeconomic factors on COVID-19 mortality and related health outcomes

July, 2020

Background

A country level exploratory analysis was conducted to assess the impact of timing and type of national health policy/actions undertaken towards COVID-19 mortality and related health outcomes.

Methods

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